Ontario’s election and the failure of the MMP proposal
As far as the seat-vote equation is concerned, this is a somewhat unremarkable result. As for the MMP proposal, the systemic factors predicting a reform process in Ontario were always weak.
As far as the seat-vote equation is concerned, this is a somewhat unremarkable result. As for the MMP proposal, the systemic factors predicting a reform process in Ontario were always weak.
MMP was defeated resoundingly, getting less than 37%. And, oh, by the way, the Liberals won nearly two thirds of the seats on only 42% of the vote. More later. Meanwhile, this thread continues to grow. Thanks for the comments. (I have weighed in there a few times, too.) On 10 October, voters in Ontario […]
it really is necessary to have dual candidacy for MMP to work well.
By a secret ballot vote of 86 to 16, the Ontario Citizens’ Assembly prefers MMP to FPTP… They decided that… only in the most exceptional cases would more than three overhangs arise in Ontario… Massicotte’s survey of Germany, New Zealand, Scotland and Wales found… the net spread between the two standings of one party is usually not very great.
Excerpted from Wilfred Day’s report in a previous thread: An early consensus. The Citizens Assembly voted on Sunday on their first preferred alternative system. They plan to design two, and then choose one. Mixed Member Proportional – 78 STV – 8 Parallel – 6 List PR – 3 Alternative Vote (IRV) – 2 Two Round […]
Ontario’s election on 2 June saw another Progressive Conservative seat majority on barely over 40% of the votes. The party, led by provincial Premier Doug Ford, barely increased its vote percentage from 2018, when it won 40.2%; this time the tally is about 40.8% (pending final count). Its vote total actually went down, because it […]
The campaign for 6 October provincial parliamentary elections in Ontario is underway. According to the ThreeHundredEight projection as of today, the province is headed towards a no-majority situation. Conservatives and the NDP could each make big gains. The current government is Liberal, (re-)elected in 2007 with a large seat majority. The Liberals would fall to […]
Via Fair Vote Canada: The long-awaited convening of the Ontario Citizens’ Assembly on Electoral Reform took place at York University campus on the weekend of September 9-10. One hundred and three citizens, representing every riding in the province, began their work to determine whether Ontario needs a new voting system. Assembly Chair George Thomson welcomed […]
Last week, Canadian party leaders participated in a debate. It is currently the only one scheduled to include the Greens leader, Elizabeth May (the party’s only MP). The debate included an entire segment devoted to, as moderator Paul Wells put it, “Canada’s democracy — how it works, why it doesn’t always work as well as […]
A month or two back, Éric Grenier from ThreeHundredEight.com, who is often cited on this blog when the discussion turns towards current electoral prospects in Canada, proposed an electoral reform to introduce PR in that country. The proposal suggests a retention of current electoral districts as a list-ordering mechanism: while seats would be allocated proportionally to parties within each […]
The first-past-the-post system is working well for the province.
I noted earlier that the election in Canada resulted in a leading party with the smallest plurality of seats in Canadian history: 40.26%. Here I want to compare this result to other plurality jurisdictions. As part of an academic paper that I am working on now, I have collected data on 187 elections held under […]