Netherlands 2017 open thread

I hope to have something to say about the recent election in the Netherlands. But so far have not. But maybe you do. Here is your chance!

We can talk about the election result itself, or the coalition negotiations, which should be pretty interesting.

(Part of the reason for not having a post yet is that I made this election one of the themes for my students’ final exam earlier this week. And now that means exams and papers must be graded, grades assigned, etc.)

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10 thoughts on “Netherlands 2017 open thread

  1. This comment is by Rob (moved from a different thread).

    Opponents of PR use the Dutch system as an excuse to stick with FPTP because nobody votes for a coalition, the long lengthy talks that takes months, and the Labor Party suffered a massive defeat going in with government with the Liberal VVD, and compromising to the point that it lost it’s identity and distinctiveness in government, seems that the tail wagging the door doesn’t apply here with small parties holding larger parties ransom.

  2. The vote loss of the Social Democrats was particularly striking and I did an analysis with the ParlGov data. It is indeed a particlulary bad election results in comparative perspective.

    http://holgerdoering.net/nld-election

    The German Social Democrats had similiar losses when they where the junior partner in the 2005 Merkel I cabinet. I wondered if we have a good understanding how the “cost of ruling” in parliamentary democracies are distributed among coalition partners. In Western Europe, the radical right regularly suffered large electoral losses when the took part in coaliton cabinets. What are the general patterns across different party types?

    • The Dutch Labour party lost 77% of its vote share, the German SPD lost only about a third in 2009. I can think of few comparable collapses. Greece’s PASOK lost just shy of 70% in 2012a; Spain’s UCD lost 80% in 1982.

      • Kadima’s loss of just over 90% of its vote is another example, but of course that was a far younger and less institutionalised party.

    • The Progressive Conservatives in Canada went went from 154 to 2 in 1993, yet another persuasive example of the stabilising effect of single member districts.

    • Thanks, Holger. There certainly is a literature on costs of ruling for coalition partners, but I don’t know that there is a clear consensus from there yet (it is not a lit I know intimately).

  3. Who will form the next government? Can one be form with such a fragmented parliament? Will it go the full term like the previous government did?

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