Ontario election called

Ontario will hold a provincial general election on 12 June. The election was called after the NDP declared it was unwilling to back the minority Liberal government’s budget, as it had done with the previous budgets since the 2011 election.

All parties have been gearing up for this showdown for a while. CBC has a preview. As of today, the ThreeHundredEight vote and seat projection has a narrow lead for the Progressive Conservatives in the vote, but a tie in seats for the PCs and Liberals, with 43 each and 21 for the NDP. Current party standings are Lib 48, PC 37, NDP 21, with the NDP having gained a net four since the 2011 election via by-election wins.

4 thoughts on “Ontario election called

  1. If the PCs and Liberals end up tied in seats, who forms the government? The Liberals, as incumbents? The Liberals, as the party most likely to have the support of the NDP? Whoever convinces the NDP to back them? A Tasmanian like agreement for the party with the most votes getting the first chance to govern in a hung parliament? (Unlike Tasmania, I cannot see a Canadian viceroy refusing advice to call the leader of the party with the most votes)

  2. If the incumbent premier declines to resign, and the opposition leader does not have a clear majority, the premier will normally be given he chance to meet the parliament.

    However, as endlessly discussed in these pages, Canada appears to have its own flavour of Westminster conventions. As equally endlessly proposed by me in those pages, an election by the assembly would be so much more transparent than relying on Westminster voodoo.

  3. Will the next election lead to a reverse plurality? Would this lead to electoral reform? I know that the MMP referendum was a flop. What would cause the parties to change the electoral system without a referendum? Ontario has a strange party system within the FPTP electoral system. Does Ontario have a typical party system compared to other FPTP jurisdictions?

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