The Independent reports that official figures show that the ruling ZANU-PF has lost control of the National Assembly of Zimbabwe. The Movement for Democratic Change has won 105 seats to the ruling party’s 94 (with one independent). (That would leave 10 seats not called.)
That is quite an admission.
The Independent and The Guardian also report that the “mainstream faction” of the MDC says its leader, Morgan Tsvangari, has won the presidency outright, with 50.3% to 43.8% for Robert Mugabe and 7% for Simba Makoni. The Guardian has somewhat different numbers for the assembly: 111 for the opposition, 96 of which are MDC. ((The Independent Results Centre now shows 99 MDC and 95 ZANU-PF, out of 206 complete. It agrees with what is reported here on the presidential race.))
With no official results for the presidential election yet announced, one still wonders if Mugabe is trying for a second best scenario. Call it the Kenya option. He retains the presidency while admitting loss of the assembly. Of course, in Kenya, that option resulted in significant violence and then an agreement, still not finalized, on power-sharing and semi-presidentialism. In other words, it is not an especially auspicious option, especially given how much worse the pre-election governance and economic situations were in Zimbabwe than in Kenya.