[LATE GROWTH FLUSH: Considerably more discussion of this result in the propagation bench below]
ABC News is reporting that 89% of votes cast in Venezuela’s National Assembly election today were cast for allies of President Hugo ChÃ¡vez. Turnout, with the major opposition parties boycotting, was 25%.
That is a staggeringly low turnout.
Such a low turnout suggests two things to me: (1) The opposition “won” in that it asked people to stay away and they did; (2) In a reasonably full turnout, if even just half the voters had voted for the opposition, they could have denied ChÃ¡vez the two-thirds majority he was seeking.
I previously commented on the rationale for a boycott. In that post, I said:
… the point of a bocott is to provoke a crisis for the government.
When I said that, I was assuming that even with the boycott, turnout would be a good deal higher than 25%.
Memo to El Comandante: You have a crisis.